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Showing posts with label Local Elections 2008. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Local Elections 2008. Show all posts

03 May 2008

Local Election VIII: Boris Is Mayor!

The most important result of the 1 May elections, the vote to select London's Mayor for the next four years, is in.

Boris has won! Absolutely fantastic news, which rounds off a great election for the Conservatives. More than 250 councillor up, plus one London Mayor. All we're waiting on now is the final GLA seat results.

Boris didn't just win - he won convincingly. He enjoyed an 8.1% [149,884 votes] lead over Ken, with 42.5% of those cast, after the first preference votes and although more second preference votes went to Ken - by about 11,000 - all of Ken's second preference votes didn't amount to more than Boris' first preference lead.

Londoners have made their choice, and have chosen a Conservative to be the second mayor of London and, what's more, they have done so convincingly. Corks should certainly be popping in CCHQ tonight.

Now it is just up to Boris to prove to the people of London that they have selected the right person for the job.

On a far more local note, here is the Watford Observer write-up on the Three Rivers council, for which I was standing, and achieved a decent swing in my ward for the length of time that I have been the candidate. Unfortunately, the BNP gained a seat on the council.

02 May 2008

Local Election VII

All the England and Wales council results are in.

This has been a disaster for Labour. More than just "disappointing" but disastrous. Losing 331 councillors and 9 councils is far more than any was predicting. This is the beginning of a melt-down. And it, really, can only get worse for them. If Ken loses London as widely expected then, well, there is no denying that 1 May 2008 will go down as a catastrophic day in the history of the Labour Party. That Brown's choice of General Secretary has also refused to take up the position makes 2 May a very bad day as well.

Conversely, for the Conservatives it had an absolute triumph. A gain of 256 councillors and 12 councils, when a net gain of 10-200 was said to be the expected area, and more than 200 being champagne cork-poppingly good. And this is even better than that. A "big moment" it was. A Boris victory in London would just be the icing on the huge celebratory cake.

The Lib Dems, despite some good gains, such as Sheffield and St Albans, have utterly failed to make any real impact. They are hardly "regaining momentum", but going backwards in the face of Conservative advancement, with their share of the projected national vote falling another percentage point for the fourth year in a row. Gaining 34 councillors and 1 council is hardly any sort of real advancement. The only real redeeming factor for them is that Labour got an ever lower projected national share than they did. And of course, Paddick has about as much chance of getting elected London mayor as I do.

Local Elections VI

Labour are in meltdown. This is a fact. A loss of nearly 300 councillors is hitting the extreme panic button region.


The Conservatives, however, are laughing with glee with gains of more than 230 councillors. Get out the champagne!


And the Lib Dems have pulled themselves up from worryingly low levels [for them] to a sort-of acceptable level.

In my own personal election battle, I haven't won the seat - which is pretty much as expected - but I did reduce the Lib Dems majority from 668 in 2007 to 493 this year [even though this is more than double my entire vote this year]. Something to work on for the next council elections in two years time!

Local Elections V

It is official: Gordon Brown has failed at his first electoral test as leader of the Labour Party. And failed miserably. With 100 out of the 159 councils who held elections yesterday having declared, Labour is down by 162 councillors - well in to the "bad case" scenario and not far off of hitting the panic button. The worst Labour electoral result ever. And the news that should the projected national vote share for this election be repeated at a general election, the Conservatives would have a majority of 138. I think that some Labour MPs will already be reaching for the panic button...

For the Conservatives, it has been a very good set of results. Gains of 147 councillors and 8 councils, well in to the "good result" bracket, and not at all far away from a champagne-cork-popping celebration. However, we must not get complacent. There is still a looooong way to go until a general election, and Labour's vote will inevitably be higher there. We as Conservatives must show that we are the best people to govern Britain, and that Labour cannot do the job. This needs to be done through coherent and joined-up policies.

As for the Lib Dems, this is a totally unremarkable night. They've made virtually no change to their councillors or councils and their vote has dropped again, even though it is now higher than Labours.

I'm now just waiting for my results to come through. The count is starting at 9.30am, and unfortunately I can't be there as I have to work. Which is annoying.

What the big result which we are all waiting for, however, is the London Mayoral results. There appears to be a consensus among professional political commentators that Ken has lost the race. But we can just wait for the results - and hope.

Local Election Results IV

It has been a good night for the Conservatives. That much is clear.

And it has been a bad night for Labour. Nothing that has happened in these local elections can be claimed to have been a good thing for Labour.

As for the Lib Dems, well, they've done nothing really. The only good thing for them is that their projected national vote share is higher than Labour's, even if it is lower than their level last year. But as for the numbers of councillors and councils, nothing has happened in any real direction for them.

It is now 3am and time for me to go to bed, as I have been up with 5.30 thing morning, delivering leaflets to try and encourage people to go out and vote [preferably Conservative, of course]. And since I have to work tomorrow as well, I need to sleep.

But I shall leave you with some predictions for the morning:

  • Conservative gains will be just under 200 councillors
  • Labour losses will be between 150 and 200 councillors
  • Lib Dems will neither gain or lose more than 10 councillors
And WebCameron has an interesting look at the developing situation from within CCHQ - even if it is more than two hours behind time:

Local Election Results III

Michael Portillo = Twit. He's just been talking on the BBC. Since when has 44% not been a bloody good result, at any stage in the electoral cycle? I'll tell you what's not good enough, and that's Portillo. And fancy saying that Boris will be a "disaster" as Mayor!

Labour have now moved in to "very bad result" territory as they now have lost 104 council seats and England and Wales, along with two councils - especially with their lowest ever projected national vote share, of just 24%, which moves them in to third place.

How much worse can things get for Labour? Well, they could always lose the London Mayor... which most commentators seem to be predicting.

Local Election Results II

Are Labour going to end the evening in third place? The BBC are painting a picture of extrapolated national vote shares of:

Conservative: 44%
Lib Dem : 25%
Labour: 24%
This not a good evening for Labour so far. No Labourite, however rabid, can claim that it is or even that it is "as expected". It is a massive blow to them.

And very good news for the Conservatives.

Local Election Results I

It's looking good! If this sort of thing continues all night, the cork-popping mark of 200 extra Conservative councillors may well be in reach!

With now just over 220 of the key wards the BBC is monitoring declared, the change in vote share for the three main parties is:

CONSERVATIVE + 6%

LABOUR - 2%

LIB DEMS - 4%

Analyst John Curtice says: It is beginning to look quite likely that the Conservatives have performed better than they did last year, while Labour may be heading for an even worse performance than in 2004. Whether the Lib Dems will end up a little weaker than last year remains uncertain.

01 May 2008

Election Day

Today is election day. The day that many of us have worked very hard for over the last few months, myself included. Personally, I have been fighting my very first election as a candidate [see above for a photo of my ballot paper] - to become a councillor in the ward in which I live - hence the lack of posts on this blog recently. You can see the two leaflets which I have been delivering in my ward here and here, along with many others across Watford and Three Rivers.

This morning I was up by 5.30am and went on a "dawn raid" in Watford, posting leaflets through doors reminding people that today was election day and that the Conservative candidate in their ward was the one to vote for. Then, after work, I went out knocking on doors and reminding people that they could still vote until 10pm. Some gave positive responses, some just said they "don't vote". But few gave particularly negative responses, which was nice.

The polls have closed across the country, and results are expected to start flooding in soon. Hopefully we will make good progress both across the country and specifically in Watford and Three Rivers.

Watch David Cameron casting his vote below:

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