The ThunderDragon: Just A Three Point Gap

10 March 2008

Just A Three Point Gap

A Populus poll puts just a three-point gap between the Conservatives and Labour, with the voting shares being: CON 37% (-3): LAB 34% (+3): LD 19%(+2). This is bad, bad news for the Tories, dropping below the 40% mark and coming some close to Labour in percentage terms.

However, unlike the Times extract above from their website claims, this certainly does not show that "voters still prefer Labour as the Government". More people want the Conservatives as the governemnt and Cameron as Prime Minister than Labour and Brown. It is just the issues with our political system and the massively disproportionate [aka anti-Tory] way the constituencies are currently set out, meaning that a 7% swing is needed for any sort of Tory majority in the Commons.

The Tories are ahead, but not by anywhere near enough. They need to push and keep pushing. Despite the adage that elections are lost by governments and not won by Oppositions, they need to set themselves out as a complete and authoritative alternative government to Labour. And soon. They are making good progress, but the progress needs to be picked up and run with.

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